It should be no surprise that Mayfield is the top-rated prospect across all four teams.
Much has been made of his projection to the NFL, and his Heisman Trophy has almost been use against him based on recent Heisman struggles in the NFL.
But Mayfield has the physical and, more importantly, mental make-up to be a starting quarterback in the NFL. He throws with great confidence, timing and velocity on interior throws, rare for a smaller quarterback and something Drew Brees and Russell Wilson do well (and Johnny Manziel didn’t). Despite being viewed as a scrambling quarterback, Mayfield has proficient footwork, playing with quiet feet in the pocket and consistently playing on balance and in control inside and outside the pocket.
Alex Smith will have plenty of teams bidding for him. I expect Cleveland and Washington (if it loses Cousins) to be the favorites. Case Keenum is expected to get a multiyear offer from the Vikings, but the Bills and Chiefs (if Smith leaves) are expected to have interest.
Some underappreciated draft prospects who could rise to the first round: N.C. State running back Jaylen Samuels, Maryland wide receiver DJ Moore, UTEP guard Will Hernandez, Rutgers defensive end Kemoko Turay, North Carolina cornerback M.J. Stewart and San Diego State cornerback Kameron Kelly.
On the AFC side, I can’t see the inconsistent Chiefs as a final four team although they should beat the offensively challenged Titans this week (Tennessee would need an outstanding performance throwing and running from quarterback Marcus Mariota to win, and that has rarely been the case for him in a less-productive third season). I’ll take the Bills over the Jaguars because I don’t trust Blake Bortles to win a big game and his play has gone downhill over the past few weeks.
Kansas City and Buffalo, or whoever emerges from these lackluster AFC wild-card games, don’t have much of a chance of winning in Foxborough or Pittsburgh even though the Patriots did lose to the Chiefs at home in the season opener.